How to forecast? forecating paper on economics?

I'm a student of economics. Under the course of "special topics on economics: forecasting" I have to prepare a paper. so iI need some parer or referance to complete my paper. paper like forecasting on GDP or Stock market index

Answer:
How old are you and how much math do you have?

If you are not familiar with the linear regression model, you can construct a simple model using Excel.

1. Obtain a data series on seasonally-adjusted, quarterly GDP
2. Use the data to construct the quarterly growth of GDP for each quarter.
3. Plot each quarter's data against the previous quarter's data
4. The graph will show you the relationship between any current value and the previous value, which is what you want to forecast GDP
5. You can either draw a straight line through the data, or use the linear regression function in Excel.

If you have lots of math and computer experience , you could use E-Views to construct a forecasting model.

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