When, what year, do you expect gasoline sales to End, Stop?
The second part is to switch to renewable energy sources, like windmills, solar panels and Hydrogen from water.
Both parts must be carried out together, to avoid an economic disaster.
Answer:
According to a study done by eminent scientist and writer Jerry Pournelle, the resource window will close on Humanity in 2035. That means, world population will have outgrown available resources so that there is less instead of more from that point forward. I suspect that unless the Arctic oilfields recently revealed in Canada are totally exploited, we won't have enough gas to move a single car by 2030 or thereabouts.
glad to know that youre thinking
but doubtful that gasoline sales will completely end
in less than a century.
2025 when global warming becomes much of a problem
The beginning of the end will be in 2009 when the last of the Texocrats are no longer in office. By then there will be a lot more hybrid vehicles on the road which is the first big step.
The hard part will be to get all of the inbred trailer dwellers to realize that they don't need to have a giant pickup truck with four tires in the back to be a man...
I want to be optimistic and believe it will happen in my lifetime, but the cynic in me truly believes that the phenomenal profit being made and the greasing of so so many hands, tends to make believe it won't happen for at least 15 years at the earliest-more realistically 20-25, and then it will only be due to the total decay of our world that people will be FORCED to reckon with the consequences of their abuse of our resources.
If you go back in time and just review our ancestors use and abuse of our earth and our health in order to make a buck:
tobacco
asbestos
coal mining-the use of canaries to determine whether the air became unsafe- canary died/you died.
ddt and other toxic chemical spraying
toxic food dye--(red dye that caused everything from stomach cancer to brain cancer from using the hair coloring product)
loose and I do mean loose regulation of our FDA allowing such drugs as Avandia, phen phen, Vioxx and many more that I have chosen to forget because I've known people affected by them.also birth control patches..these are drugs that have only been on the market for a very few years and have caused thousands of deaths so far.
We should be more like our sister country- England. The English do not inject their animals with antibiotics or anything else--they eat free range toxic free meats--so much so that when Prince Charles came to the US to visit-- HE BROUGHT ALL OF HIS OWN FOOD--that alone tells you how toxic our food is---and of course all our vegetables and fruits are grown with toxic sprays and tainted soil..
Sorry to be such a bummer, but I really don't see anything changing real soon- let's face it, 9/11 didn't even tighten up our borders to protect us.dwell on that thought.if the people in power and believe me, it's not just GW, there is a world power organization that commands most decisions, if they don't care about our borders to protect our citizens, why would they care about nature?
And just one more fact, one I will never forget because it came from a little boy that went to school in NYC near the World Trade Center- who was Jewish--and he told his teacher who then told the media, that as the horrific event was happening, he told his teacher "my daddy knew something bad was going to happen today that's why he stayed home from work"..he worked at one of the Towers.
Hydrogen is bull, it needs coal or oil energy to make and is very inefficient. Bush just sells it, because he is an idiot, or has shares. Transportation is so incredible misconstrued and inefficient here in the USA, its comical.
1. Coal burning power plants use technology from 1930
2. Cars can get 80 miles to the gallon without new technology, I drove a clean Diesel in 1979, with 105 miles the gallon.
3. Air conditioning, Refrigeration, Heating, Light, all could get with little change use up half the energy.
There is more, but we are a stubborn, stupid society, stuck in the past.
As resources become more scarce, they become more and more expensive. Gasoline should increase in price steadily as it becomes more rare, but it should always be available. At a sufficiently high price per gallon, it's economical to manufacture it on Jupiter and ship to the Earth.
Now, because of its effect on global warming, it could be argued that gasoline should be taxed, proportionately to the economic damage it does in the future. (I would so argue.) This will boost the price over the natural market price, and make using gasoline less desirable.
By the way, the source of energy in a "hydrogen economy" is usually thought to be nuclear power.
Never. But at, say, $20 a gallon, who would be using it to drive to work? They'd have an electric car, hopefully running off electricity from a nuclear power plant.
The last use of fossil fuels will probably be for air craft. It's going to take a technological breakthrough to change that. World air travel is going to get expensive.
Gasoline sales will never end. As "convenient" oil becomes less and less common, companies will find ways to extract oil from inconvenient places. The prices will slowly rise, but gasoline will always be available.
Incidentally, hydrogen is a HORRIBLE fuel. You can't store it in steel tanks (it leaks out), you can't transfer it in pipes, you can't extract it from water without using LOTS of electricity (in the US, most electricity is produced by burning coal) running along huge power lines, and if you crash a car with a hydrogen tank, it's likely to detonate like a bomb.
No gasoline at all? Or coal? How about diesel?
Well, you mention economic disaster. That's an vast understatement. What you're really talking about is the end of civilization as we know it and starvation on a grand scale. You see, we can't feed the population without mechanized farming, a vast transportation system, refigeration and everything that goes to support all that. There's just too many people to rely on hunting and gathering. Bottom line is this: No gas, no food and we don't eat. Are you ready for that?
Incidentally, we're light years away from being able to replace petroleum windmills, solar or any known technology. Hydrogen sounds good but it takes more energy to extract the stuff then it returns.
ill say when the war is over and done thats when gas prices will stop rising
Never
It is estimated to happen in 50 years. However the rate China is going right now, as far as their competition with the US. It might be less.
oil will be around for a long time.
there is PLENTY of it.
also trees cause GW? come on guys. stick to the playbook. trees are "carbon neutral". trees=biomass.
i'm not a tree hugger and i know that much.
Never. If petroleum reserves ever run out we'll just make more synthetically.
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